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Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Oxford 2015 Prelims Mathematics III 6 c i Solution by
Codex 0 2026-10-25
Since is nonnegative, its cumulative distribution function is zero for . For ,The last equality uses the symmetry of the standard normal distribution. Thus
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Oxford 2015 Prelims Mathematics III 6 b i Solution by
Codex 0 2026-10-25
Normalization of the probability density function and the specified mean give two equations:Dividing the second by the first gives . ConsequentlyBoth are positive, as required for the stated probability density function.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Oxford 2015 Prelims Mathematics III 6 a ii Solution by
Codex 0 2026-10-25
Expand the square and use linearity of expectation, together with and :This proof applies whenever the second moment is finite, and does not require the random variable to be continuous.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Oxford 2015 Prelims Mathematics III 6 a i Solution by
Codex 0 2026-10-25
For a random variable with a continuous probability distribution and probability density function , the mean and variance areA finite mean requires . A finite variance additionally requires the second moment to be finite; without that condition the nonnegative integral for the variance may be infinite.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Oxford 2015 Prelims Mathematics III 5 b iv Solution by
Codex 0 2026-10-25
Computing the same expected value directly from the Poisson distribution instead givesFor each fixed positive integer , the ratio test shows that this sum converges. This identity is Dobiński's formula. The case also gives if is interpreted as one in this particular moment formula.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Oxford 2015 Prelims Mathematics III 5 b iii Solution by
Codex 0 2026-10-25
Substitute into the polynomial identity and apply linearity of expectation to its finite sum. The factorial moments of the Poisson distribution in part (a)(iv) are all one, givingThus its th moment counts set partitions: it equals the th Bell number.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Oxford 2015 Prelims Mathematics III 5 b ii Solution by
Codex 0 2026-10-25
Every assignment determines a unique set partition into its nonempty colour classes. If there are such blocks of a set partition, there are choices for that set partition. For each fixed choice, assign distinct colours to the blocks of a set partition inways. Although the blocks of a set partition are unlabelled, they are distinguishable by their elements: ordering them temporarily, for instance by their least elements, counts each assignment exactly once. The falling factorial is zero when , as it should be. Summing over the possible numbers of used colours provesHere is the Stirling number of the second kind. Both sides are polynomials in and agree at infinitely many integers , so the identity also holds for every real , including . This extension will justify substituting the random variable in part (iii).
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Oxford 2015 Prelims Mathematics III 5 b i Solution by
Codex 0 2026-10-25
Each of the distinct elements can receive any of the labelled colours. The multiplication principle therefore givescolour assignments; colours are allowed to remain unused.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Oxford 2015 Prelims Mathematics III 5 a iv Solution by
Codex 0 2026-10-25
For the specified Poisson distribution, the exponential series gives the probability generating functionEvery derivative of is again , so the factorial moments and variance areAlso .
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Oxford 2015 Prelims Mathematics III 5 a iii Solution by
Codex 0 2026-10-25
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Oxford 2015 Prelims Mathematics III 5 a ii Solution by
Codex 0 2026-10-25
Under the extra hypothesis that exists for every real , its power series has infinite radius of convergence. Termwise differentiation of a power series is therefore valid to every finite order. For ,At this is the expected value of the falling factorial of :In particular . The terms with vanish because their falling factorials contain a zero factor. These factorial moments are finite under the stated hypothesis.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Oxford 2015 Prelims Mathematics III 5 a i Solution by
Codex 0 2026-10-25
For a nonnegative integer-valued random variable, its probability generating function isThe convention , including at , gives . The power series has absolute convergence for every real , since . More generally its real domain as a finite expected value is , which may extend beyond . No extension beyond that guaranteed interval is automatic.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Oxford 2015 Prelims Mathematics III 4 c ii Solution by
Codex 0 2026-10-25
Each has the same probability distribution as , and independence makes and identically distributed. Thus their two strict tail probabilities are equal:Apply Chebyshev's inequality using the mean and variance from part (i):The equal-tail argument is essential: applying Chebyshev's inequality directly to the absolute tail alone gives the weaker bound .
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Oxford 2015 Prelims Mathematics III 4 c i Solution by
Codex 0 2026-10-25
Each random variable has mean zero and second moment , so its variance is . For , linearity of expectation and variance additivity for independent random variables give
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Oxford 2015 Prelims Mathematics III 4 b ii Solution by
Codex 0 2026-10-25
At an absorbing state, the remaining absorption time is zero, so . Multiplying the linear recurrence relation by three givesThe second finite difference of is two. A particular solution is therefore , while every solution of the corresponding homogeneous linear recurrence relation has the form . The boundary conditions give and , henceThis is the mean absorption time of a lazy symmetric random walk with holding probability .
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Oxford 2015 Prelims Mathematics III 4 b i Solution by
Codex 0 2026-10-25
First the expected value of the absorption time is finite. From any interior state, consecutive leftward moves lead to absorption within at most steps, with probability at least . By independence of the subsequent steps, the probability of surviving steps is at most . Summing this geometric series bounds the expected value of the absorption time by .
Now apply first-step analysis. Starting from in the interior, one step is always used. Conditional on that step, the remaining expected values are , , and , each with probability . The law of total expectation therefore givesThe term remains even when the particle stays at , because a step has elapsed. Rearranging gives
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Oxford 2015 Prelims Mathematics III 4 a ii Solution by
Codex 0 2026-10-25
For an integrable random variable , the law of total expectation for the partition of a sample space isParts of zero probability contribute zero and need no definition of . To see the identity, write and use linearity of expectation; integrability justifies the countable sum since .
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Oxford 2015 Prelims Mathematics III 4 a i Solution by
Codex 0 2026-10-25
The events form a partition of a sample space when they are pairwise disjoint sets and cover the whole sample space:Thus exactly one of these events occurs on every outcome. Under the usual set partition convention the parts are nonempty; empty parts can simply be discarded.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Oxford 2015 Prelims Mathematics II 6 b ii Solution by
Codex 0 2026-10-25
Choose . Then and . The mean value theorem states that a continuous function on a closed interval, differentiable in its interior, has an interior derivative equal to its endpoint difference quotient. It gives withHere , , and the right-hand side tends to by differentiability at . If exists, the same values must tend to . Uniqueness of the limit of a sequence givesThus a derivative cannot have a removable discontinuity at a point where the original function is differentiable. The proof also excludes an infinite limit of a function there, since the displayed difference quotients have a finite limit of a sequence.
Pinned article: Introduction to the OurBigBook Project
Welcome to the OurBigBook Project! Our goal is to create the perfect publishing platform for STEM subjects, and get university-level students to write the best free STEM tutorials ever.
Everyone is welcome to create an account and play with the site: ourbigbook.com/go/register. We belive that students themselves can write amazing tutorials, but teachers are welcome too. You can write about anything you want, it doesn't have to be STEM or even educational. Silly test content is very welcome and you won't be penalized in any way. Just keep it legal!
Intro to OurBigBook
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This feature makes it possible for readers to find better explanations of any topic created by other writers. And it allows writers to create an explanation in a place that readers might actually find it.Figure 1. Screenshot of the "Derivative" topic page. View it live at: ourbigbook.com/go/topic/derivativeVideo 2. OurBigBook Web topics demo. Source. - local editing: you can store all your personal knowledge base content locally in a plaintext markup format that can be edited locally and published either:This way you can be sure that even if OurBigBook.com were to go down one day (which we have no plans to do as it is quite cheap to host!), your content will still be perfectly readable as a static site.
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