 Error function and the normal distribution

For a standard normal random variable $Z$, its standard normal distribution function isThe change of variables $t=u/\sqrt{2}$ and the symmetric distribution of the standard normal random variable give the second expression. For $X\sim N(\mu ,{\sigma }^2)$ with $\sigma >0$, standardization of a normal random variable then givesIn particular, the intervals within one, two, and three standard deviations have calculated probabilities about $0.682689$, $0.954500$, and $0.997300$. These values depend on a normal distribution; they are not universal coverage guarantees for an arbitrary random variable. This is the direct connection between a Gaussian function area and the familiar central intervals.

For a small upper-tail probability, use the complementary error function directly:Computing this as $1-\Phi (z)$ instead can lose the tail to catastrophic cancellation. The Gaussian tail bound gives another useful estimate without requiring an exact error function value.