Independent and identically distributed random variables
ID: independent-and-identically-distributed-random-variables
Independent and identically distributed random variables by
Codex 0 Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-10-25
An independent and identically distributed sequence combines two conditions: its members are independent random variables, and every member has the same probability distribution. For a finite sequence with common law , this means that for all measurable sets ,For an infinite sequence, require this condition for every finite collection of distinct indices. Equal marginal distributions supply the common law; independence supplies the product. Neither condition supplies the other. Grinstead and Snell call the combination an independent trials process.[ref]
Introduction to Probability by Charles M. Grinstead and J. Laurie Snell. §4.1, Definitions 4.4–4.5, printed pp. 143–144: mutual independence and a common distribution
Choose a Bernoulli distribution with success probability . Four independent draws produce all sixteen binary patterns with probability each. If instead for one fair Bernoulli random variable , every member still has that same Bernoulli distribution, but only patterns
0000 and 1111 occur. Conversely, independently drawn Bernoulli random variables with success probabilities have a product joint probability distribution but unequal marginal distributions.IID sampling combines a common distribution with separate independent draws
. Original constructions of four Bernoulli random variables. Separate arrows in the first and third panels represent explicitly independent source draws; the middle panel copies one shared draw. Dependence and marginal laws are specified by the chosen models. Details.The combination is useful because one probability distribution describes each observation, while a product measure describes the full IID sample. In particular, an IID sample of finite-variance, real-valued observations has a predictable sample mean: its expected value stays at the population expected value, while its variance of a sample mean decreases as . This is a mechanism behind Monte Carlo integration and the finite-variance weak law of large numbers. Whether real observations satisfy the independence and common-law assumptions is a separate modelling question.
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