Solution

ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematics-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2006/ii/paper-1/6b/solution

The probability generating function encodes the population distribution in one analytic function. Its coefficients and derivative recover
provided the mean is finite. Higher derivatives at one give factorial moments, and normalization says .
Interpret the supplied birth and death expressions as transition rates: over a small time their probabilities are and . Incoming probability from and , minus both outgoing rates, gives
with . Multiplying by and summing yields
At stationarity, , so integration and normalization give
Alternatively differentiating the evolution equation at one gives , so . If , the displayed power expression is understood in its limit: , a Poisson distribution with mean .

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