Solution

ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematics-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2016/iii/paper-211/1/d/solution

A martingale with the specified terminal value must equal its conditional expectation. If , default has already occurred and the terminal European call option payoff is zero. If , put . Conditional on survival to ,
where has the standard normal distribution; the conditional probability of this survival is . The conditional expectation of the payoff in the enlarged filtration used in part (c) is consequently
This expression is already measurable with respect to the natural filtration of , so the tower property of conditional expectation gives the same value there. The survival factor cancels the compensating growth factor:
The separate zero branch avoids division by zero. At it gives the required payoff, using ; integrability follows from .

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