Solution

ID: past-exam-of-the-options-ii-course-of-the-university-of-oxford/2011/o/o5/d/solution

Let . Part (b) gives
The residual vector and coefficient estimator are independent: they are jointly normal and their cross-covariance matrix is zero, since . Hence is independent of . By the definition of Student's t-distribution,
Let be the quantile of this distribution. Inverting the central probability statement gives the exact marginal confidence interval
Its coverage is under the stated Gaussian linear model; simultaneous coverage for all coefficients would require a separate adjustment.

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