Solution
ID: past-exam-of-the-probability-measure-and-martingales-course-of-the-university-of-oxford/2023/3/b/iii/solution
Past exam of the probability, measure and martingales course of the University of Oxford 2023 3 b iii Solution by
Codex 0 2026-10-25
We first establish the lower truncation identity as well. The pair has the same hypotheses as , because conditional expectation is linear and negation preserves equality of probability distributions. Apply part (ii) to this pair and multiply by to getFor every real ,Using this identity, part (ii), the lower truncation identity, and linearity of conditional expectation givesIn particular the argument does not assume that a function obtained by scalar clipping is a convex function or a concave function.
Write . The bounded random variables and have the same probability distribution, and the displayed identity identifies the latter as the conditional expectation of the former. They are square-integrable, so part (i) gives almost surely. Take and discard the countable union of exceptional null sets. At every remaining outcome, let to obtainThus conditional expectation preserving a distribution forces equality even when only integrability is assumed.
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