Solution
ID: past-exam-of-the-probability-statistics-and-options-ii-course-of-the-university-of-oxford/2011/o/o5/d/solution
Past exam of the Probability, statistics and options II course of the University of Oxford 2011 O O5 d Solution by
Codex 0 2026-10-31
Put and . The normal law of the estimator gives . The fitted and residual Gaussian projections are orthogonal and hence independent, so this quantity is independent of . Their ratio therefore has Student's t-distribution:If is its upper quantile, rearranging its central probability event givesThis interval has exact coverage under the given normal linear model, rather than merely large-sample coverage.
New to topics? Read the docs here!