Solution

ID: past-exam-of-the-stochastic-analysis-and-partial-differential-equations-course-of-the-university-of-oxford/2025/2/c/i/solution

Here the diffusion generator is . The Feynman-Kac formula gives
Try , where and . Substitution and collection of the coefficients of and the constant term give
The solutions of these ordinary differential equations, with the terminal conditions imposed, are
For , define the conditional variance
Then the required conditional characteristic function is
In particular, for this exponent is . The variance is nonnegative for either sign of , and its limit at is . Hence the solution is bounded in absolute value by one and the Feynman-Kac formula identifies it with the required expectation. The value gives one directly, including that case without dividing by .
For an independent check, the integrating factor and the Itô product rule give
The stochastic integral has a normal distribution because its integrand is deterministic; the Itô isometry gives its variance as . For this is the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck transition distribution. The formula also covers the unstable case , and degenerates to deterministic motion when .

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