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Interpret the quoted band amplitude as an absolute transit-depth increment $\Delta D=0.0003$, or $300$ parts per million. For a thin atmospheric annulus of extra height $\Delta z$, the atmospheric spectral-feature amplitude isLet the water band span $N_H$ atmospheric scale heights, so $\Delta z=N_{H}H$. For a nearly isothermal atmosphere with constant gravity and mean molecular weight $\mu$, $H=k_{B}T/(\mu m_{u}g)$. The temperature from a transmission-band amplitude is thereforeHere $T_0,H_0,{\mu }_0,g_0$ refer to the chosen Jupiter reference layer. Assuming $g=g_J\simeq 25\mathrm{m}{\mathrm{s}}^{-2}$, an H/He exoplanet atmosphere with $\mu \simeq 2.3$, and a clear strong band with $N_H\simeq 5$, gives $H\simeq 210\mathrm{km}$ and $T\simeq 1.4\times 10^3\mathrm{K}$. Equivalently, a Jovian reference with $T_0\simeq 165\mathrm{K}$ has $H_0\simeq 24\mathrm{km}$, giving $H/H_0\simeq 8.7$.

The assumptions are hydrostatic, approximately isothermal limb gas, constant gravity, negligible cloud truncation, H/He composition, and an effective opacity contrast yielding about five scale heights. In an ideal clear limb, $N_H\simeq \log ({\kappa }_{\mathrm{band}}/{\kappa }_{\mathrm{cont}})$ follows from the slant optical depth of an isothermal atmosphere. The data fix $N_{H}H$, not $H$ separately: the temperature is conditional on the band opacity contrast and composition. For $N_H=3$–$7$ with the same composition and gravity, the estimate is about $1000$–$2400\mathrm{K}$.

Assume a uniform stellar disc of radius $R_{\star }$, an opaque planetary radius $R_p$, and a thin atmospheric annulus of thickness $z\ll R_p$. Neglect planetary light during transit and scattering back into the beam. The attenuation part of the radiative transfer equation gives $I_{\lambda }=I_{\lambda ,0}{e}^{-{\tau }_{\lambda }}$, where ${\tau }_{\lambda }$ is the slant optical depth along a stellar ray through the atmosphere. The fraction of light removed from that annulus is therefore $1-e^{-{\tau }_{\lambda }}$.

If the annulus is represented by one effective optical depth, its area divided by the stellar area isThe annulus model for transmission spectroscopy consequently gives the extra transit depthHere ${\delta }_{\lambda }$ is normalized to the unobscured stellar flux and excludes the opaque-disc depth $(R_p/R_{\star }{)}^2$. For a spectral feature measured relative to a continuum with slant optical depth ${\tau }_c$, the corresponding contrast is $A(e^{-{\tau }_c}-e^{-{\tau }_{\lambda }})$; the displayed formula takes the annular continuum to be transparent.

A real exoplanet transmission spectrum has an impact-parameter-dependent optical depth. Its more accurate expression isStellar limb darkening and horizontally varying clouds further modify the weighting. The single-annulus approximation is useful for estimating an atmospheric spectral-feature amplitude, rather than predicting every spectral line.

At 10 parsecs, $0.01$ arcseconds corresponds to $a=0.10$ astronomical units. Take a solar-radius star with $T_{\star }=5772\mathrm{K}$, zero Bond albedo, full day-night heat redistribution, negligible internal heating, and a hydrogen-helium atmosphere with mean particle mass $2.3m_H$. The planetary equilibrium temperature isFor Jupiter mass and radius, $g\simeq 24.8\mathrm{m}{\mathrm{s}}^{-2}$. Its atmospheric scale height isAssume a strong band spans $N_H=5$ atmospheric scale heights and saturates in the annulus model for transmission spectroscopy. The atmospheric spectral-feature amplitude isFor a five-standard-deviation detection, the uncertainty of the measured differential contrast must satisfyThis estimate scales linearly with the assumed feature height; one atmospheric scale height would require about $7.5\mathrm{ppm}$. The question gives no opacity or abundance from which to fix $N_H$, so an atmospheric detection threshold is necessarily assumption-dependent.

For thermal emission at $10\mu \mathrm{m}$, assume the planet and star emit as blackbodies. The thermal eclipse depth from the Planck law isThus the uncertainty required for a five-standard-deviation exoplanet secondary eclipse detection isThese are uncertainties of the final transit or eclipse contrasts, including the uncertainty of their reference levels. The distance affects photon counts and observing time but cancels from the flux ratios. An opaque exactly isothermal atmosphere emits a featureless blackbody spectrum: an eclipse detects its thermal light, while identifying atmospheric composition requires spectral features and a nonisothermal structure or other diagnostics.

Potential surface habitability requires a stable liquid-water interface, a temperature and pressure outside runaway-greenhouse and high-pressure-ice regimes, and an ${\mathrm{H}}_2$ inventory large enough for collision-induced greenhouse warming but not so deep that pressure and temperature sterilize the ocean. Long-term atmospheric retention, tolerable stellar ultraviolet and particle flux, nutrient cycling, and chemical disequilibrium compatible with metabolism are also needed. A location in the circumstellar habitable zone alone is insufficient.

For $M_p=5M_{\oplus }$ and $R_p=2R_{\oplus }$,Taking $T=300\mathrm{K}$ and hydrogen-rich mean molecular weight $\mu =2.3$ gives the atmospheric scale heightIf a strong feature spans $N_H=5$ scale heights and $R_s=0.5R_{\odot }$, the atmospheric spectral-feature amplitude isClouds, hazes, refraction, and smaller molecular abundance reduce this estimate.

In transmission, the leading scaling is the atmospheric spectral-feature amplitudeObservability therefore improves for a small bright host star, a large planet, low surface gravity, high atmospheric temperature, low mean molecular mass, large molecular abundance, and cloud-free limbs. Stellar activity and heterogeneity, refraction, aerosols, limited transit count, detector noise, and spectral overlap reduce it.

In emission, the contrast scales approximately asIt depends on dayside temperature, vertical temperature gradient, molecular opacity, heat redistribution, orbital geometry, stellar brightness, and instrumental background.