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Decreasing orbital period, distinct from spin slowdown. Joseph Hooton Taylor Jr. inferred masses using binary-pulsar periastron advance and binary-pulsar Einstein delay, then tested the independent period derivative against the general relativity quadrupole formula. Correcting differential Galactic acceleration gave indirect gravitational radiation evidence. This was not a terrestrial strain measurement.^[ref]

In particular, the raw measured derivative schematically containsHere $a_{\parallel }^{\mathrm{relative}}$ is positive when the source's recession accelerates. Its contribution follows by differentiating the leading Doppler effect. A decreasing observed orbital period alone therefore does not identify a unique energy-loss mechanism.

For fixed masses, binary orbital energy is $-G{m}_1{m}_2/(2a)$ and Kepler's third law gives $P_b\propto a^{3/2}$. Positive outgoing gravitational radiation predicted by the quadrupole formula makes the orbital energy more negative, reducing $a$ and $P_b$. This sign argument explains shrinking orbits, but a quantitative test also needs the predicted magnitude and orbital eccentricity dependence.