For fixed component masses, total mass and reduced mass , in the weak-field slow-motion circular orbits, and obey . The gravitational-wave energy and angular-momentum balance makes the secular loss tangent to this circular family. Substituting into the instantaneous quadrupole luminosity of a Kepler binary and differentiating gives the displayed inspiral equation. Integration givesThe orbit is quasicircular, with small radial drift. The formal coalescence time is not a valid extension of the weak-field point-mass model into the final strong-field or stellar-contact phase.
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