Cloning failure bound from trace-distance contraction ($\sqrt{e_0}+\sqrt{e_1}\ge \sqrt{1-c^{2N}}-\sqrt{1-c^{2M}}$)

For two pure states of overlap $0<c<1$, a quantum channel attempts to turn $M$ copies into $N>M$ copies. Let $e_i$ be the failure probability of the all-copies projector test on input $i$. The pure-state trace distance and fidelity identity, trace-distance contraction under quantum channels, pure-target upper bound on trace distance and triangle inequality give the displayed strictly positive gap $\Delta$. Hence ${\max }_i{e}_i\ge {\Delta }^2/4$, and for positive priors ${\pi }_0+{\pi }_1=1$, weighted Cauchy-Schwarz inequality gives ${\pi }_0{e}_0+{\pi }_1{e}_1\ge {\pi }_0{\pi }_1{\Delta }^2$. No positive state-by-state bound holds: preparing one candidate perfectly makes its own conditional failure probability zero.