Conditional entropy rate (${\lim }_{n\to \infty }H(X_n\mid X_1,\dots ,X_{n-1})$)

For a strictly stationary process on a finite alphabet, put $a_1=H(X_1)$ and $a_n=H(X_n\mid X_1,\dots ,X_{n-1})$ for $n\ge 2$. Each $a_n$ is the average remaining uncertainty in the next symbol after its history is known. More history can improve prediction, so this sequence is nonincreasing:The inequality uses conditioning reduces entropy; the last equality uses strict stationarity. Nonnegative $a_n$ therefore have a limit. By the chain rule for information entropy,The Cesàro mean converges to the same limit, proving the equality with the entropy rate. This is a statement about average information entropy. A constant almost-sure limit of the realized information content requires the further hypotheses in the Shannon-McMillan-Breiman theorem; stationarity without ergodicity in an information source explains the distinction.