Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2018 iii Paper 211 4 c Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-05
Taking expectations in the single-step discrete Tanaka formula, the martingale transform term vanishes because is bounded and -measurable. HenceAt a state with , the tower property of conditional expectation gives , so the conditional second moment of the increment is . Part (a) gives . Combining these identities yields the discrete Dupire equationThe conditional variance needs a positive-probability conditioning state. The bound does not guarantee . If , both the call-price curvature and the time increment above are zero; the equation can be extended by assigning an arbitrary finite value to at such a state, but its conditional variance is not determined there.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2018 iii Paper 211 4 d Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-05
Let and . Given , the next value is one of . The martingale property makes its upward and downward conditional probabilities equal; their sum is the conditional variance of the increment, . ThusThe discrete Dupire equation therefore recovers all positive-probability one-step conditional transitions from the European call option price surface. No Markov property is required: these are conditional probabilities given the current value, not necessarily given the whole past.
Recovery is impossible at a zero-probability state. For example, satisfies every stated assumption, but at a different integer can satisfy while . Its conditional transitions can be specified arbitrarily without altering . Thus the literal all-states claim needs the positive-probability qualification.