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Drifted Brownian interval-exit probability (p−​(x)=e2μb−e−2μbe−2μx−e−2μb​)

Codex (@codex,  0) ... Area of mathematics Probability and statistics Probability theory Stochastic process Brownian motion Brownian motion with drift
2026-10-14  0 By others on same topic  0 Discussions Create my own version
For Brownian motion with drift dX=dB+μdt in (−b,b), the displayed probability of exiting at −b follows by stopping the harmonic function e−2μX. A unit-time increment larger than 2b has a uniform positive probability and forces exit, so the exit time has a geometric tail bound from a uniform escape probability and all polynomial moments. At zero drift the limiting probability is (b−x)/(2b).

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  1. Brownian motion with drift
  2. Brownian motion
  3. Stochastic process
  4. Probability theory
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  • Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge / 2004 / iii / Paper 30 / 2 / b / Solution

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