Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2004 iii Paper 7 3 Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
We first construct a terminal integrable function without using the martingale convergence theorem. Put and on . This is a finite positive measure. If almost everywhere the conclusion is immediate. Otherwise, for a bounded dyadic step function measurable with respect to in the dyadic filtration, defineThe martingale property makes the definition independent of the choice of a sufficiently large . Moreover . Dyadic step functions are dense in : continuous functions on the closed unit cube are dense for this finite Borel measure (extend the measure by zero onto the omitted faces), and uniform continuity approximates each continuous function by step functions on fine dyadic partitions. Thus extends to a bounded linear functional on of norm at most one. The duality of Lp spaces representation of this functional gives with and . Set , taking where . Then and testing indicators of all dyadic atoms provesThis argument also works for complex-valued martingales, with a complex linear functional.
To prove convergence, choose a dyadic step function with arbitrarily small. For all beyond its dyadic level, . The L1 contraction of conditional expectation yieldsThis proves convergence in . For convergence almost everywhere, Doob maximal inequality applied to the conditional expectations of givesLet the approximation error tend to zero, and then take positive rational . Hence both in and almost everywhere.
For the second assertion, write and take the given first-exit stopping time . Each is integrable, being a finite sum of restrictions of integrable variables. Its increments satisfyThe indicator is -measurable, so taking its conditional expectation proves that is a martingale.
The overshoot at need not be bounded by . Instead, for a fixed , on with we have . Integrating over this -measurable event, summing the disjoint events, and including givesThe variables increase to , and . The monotone convergence theorem gives . Before stopping, the process has magnitude less than ; after stopping it remains at . ConsequentlyThis is the integrable overshoot of a stopped L1-bounded martingale. The first part now proves that every such stopped process converges almost everywhere.
Finally, Doob maximal inequality gives , by applying the finite-horizon estimate and then increasing the horizon. Thus is finite almost everywhere. Outside the union of the null sets for all positive integer stopping thresholds, choose an integer larger than this supremum. No stopping occurs at that point, so for all , and converges to a finite limit almost everywhere. We have not assumed, or concluded, convergence for this general -bounded martingale.