Empirical risk minimization chooses a hypothesis that minimizes the average loss on the observed data.
A loss function assigns a numerical penalty to a prediction and its observed outcome. Its expected value is the population risk optimized by a statistical learning procedure.
The population risk of a prediction rule is its expected loss on a fresh observation from the target probability distribution.
Given a hypothesis class and a loss function , its loss class is the function classIt lets properties of a learning problem be studied through the random fluctuations of the losses themselves.
For a classifier and a labelled example , the misclassification loss isIt is also called zero-one loss because it is zero for a correct prediction and one for an incorrect prediction.
For a random classifier determined by training information , and an independent test pair , its conditional misclassification risk is . It is itself a training-dependent random variable. The tower property of conditional expectation gives .
On labelled examples , the empirical misclassification risk isAn empirical risk minimizer chooses a classifier attaining the smallest value over its hypothesis class.
If minimizes the population risk over a hypothesis class, the excess risk of is the nonnegative difference .
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