Let be the number of telephone lines in use. The memorylessness of the exponential distribution makes a continuous-time Markov chain, specifically the M-M-infinity queue with generator rates
Suppose and put . Each initial call is still active at time with the exponential survival probability , independently of the others. Their surviving number is therefore
A call arriving at time survives until with probability . By Poisson thinning, the number of surviving new calls is independent of and has law
Hence in distribution. Multiplying the probability generating functions of the two independent random variables gives, for ,
Equivalently, the transient distribution of an M-M-infinity queue is
with independent summands. As , the binomial term converges to zero and the Poisson mean tends to . Therefore
which proves the stated large-time approximation.
Interpret the quoted muon energy as total relativistic energy, and neglect energy loss in the atmosphere. The Lorentz factor, speed and Earth-frame travel time are
The muon decay law is exponential in proper time. Equivalently, time dilation makes the Earth-frame mean lifetime . The exponential survival probability over the flight is
With and , the elapsed proper time is . Therefore
This uses the stated single incident energy and vertical trajectories. If the number were a kinetic energy, one would instead use ; the distinction is not silently absorbed into the rest energy.