Quantity-specific identifiability 2026-11-05
Quantity-specific identifiability asks whether a chosen function of a model's parameters is determined by the observable probability distribution, even when the complete parameter vector is not. For model and target , the criterion isEquivalently, the target must be constant on each class of observationally equivalent parameters. This separates identification of a scientifically meaningful quantity from reconstruction of every internal parameter. Thomas J. Rothenberg's primary treatment explicitly distinguishes identification of individual parameter components from that of a full system.[ref]
Identification in Parametric Models by Thomas J. Rothenberg. §5, printed p.586, individual-parameter discussion and Theorem8
For an original example, let observations have a Poisson distribution with mean , where . Parameter pairs and give exactly the same observable law. The sum is identifiable, but is not: its values are and . With independent observations, the sample mean estimates the sum with variance . More observations can improve that estimate without distinguishing the two allocations.
Identifiability from linear observations gives a useful exact criterion. Suppose the observation law identifies and contains no additional information about . A linear target is identifiable exactly when belongs to the row space of . To prove this, observationally equivalent parameter differences lie in the kernel of a linear map . The target is unchanged for every such difference precisely when is orthogonal to that kernel, which is equivalent to membership in the row space. If , the target can be recovered as .
A deterministic geometric analogue appears in additional measurements and anatomical identifiability: measured perimeter can determine the surface area of the stipulated cuboid family even when exchanging its two horizontal side labels remains invisible. The target and the allowed model class must be stated.
Thomas J. Rothenberg 2026-11-05
Thomas J. Rothenberg is a mathematical econometrician whose work concerns statistical inference and the identifiability of models. The American Economic Association's 2015 citation recognizes his contributions to identification and inference and identifies him as a professor emeritus at Berkeley.[ref]
Thomas Rothenberg, Distinguished Fellow 2015 by the American Economic Association. Award citation and institutional identification
His primary paper Identification in Parametric Models by Thomas J. Rothenberg, published in 1971, develops identification criteria beyond one model considered in isolation. It connects local identification with the information matrix under regularity conditions and treats identification of individual parameters separately from that of the full vector.[ref] The distinction is useful when a scientifically relevant combination is recoverable even though the entire parameterization is not; identifiability from linear observations gives an explicit example.
An original counterexample explains why the regularity qualifications matter. Consider one observation with normal distributionThe mean map is one-to-one, so distinct parameters have distinct observable distributions. Nevertheless its Fisher information iswhich vanishes at zero. The information rank changes there, so a nonsingularity criterion cannot be applied without its assumptions. Nonregular identification at a flat mean map separates exact distinguishability from first-order sensitivity: a zero derivative does not by itself establish that two different parameter values produce the same law.
The example illustrates a broader contribution of identification theory. Before asking an estimator for a precise answer, determine whether the observations can distinguish the proposed quantities and whether the local approximation used for inference is valid.
