Independent annular barriers for percolation

Closed dual graph cycles in disjoint square rings depend on disjoint primal edge sets. In independent bond percolation their barrier events are independent. If each event has probability at least $\delta >0$, an open graph path from the origin across $k$ rings has probability at most $(1-\delta {)}^k$. A geometric sequence of radii turns this estimate into the polynomial critical one-arm upper bound.