For an interest parameter and nuisance parameter , the profile likelihood is , where maximizes the likelihood at fixed . Its maximum occurs at the joint maximum-likelihood estimate of . It preserves the optimized likelihood ratios for different interest values and is unchanged by one-to-one reparametrization of the nuisance at each fixed . It generally is neither a marginal sampling density nor a conditional likelihood, and eliminating nuisance parameters by maximization can introduce appreciable small-sample distortion. Differentiating the constrained score equation gives the curvature formula
at a joint stationary point. The corresponding expected-information expression is the efficient information for the interest parameter. Under the regular conditions of Wilks theorem, twice the profile log-likelihood drop has an asymptotic chi-squared distribution with the dimension of the interest parameter as its degrees of freedom.
For scalar nuisance, the Barndorff-Nielsen modified profile likelihood may be written
where the sample-coordinate derivative holds and the ancillary statistic fixed. For vector nuisance the last two quantities are determinants. An equivalent form is , since differentiating the constrained nuisance score gives . The semicolon denotes differentiation in sample coordinates, not another ordinary parameter derivative. This Jacobian determinant adjustment is essential to the definition.
In the present model set
The log-likelihood is . Consequently
The profile score is , and its derivative is . The expression in parentheses is the variance of the fixed design values under positive weights proportional to . Thus the profile log-likelihood is strictly concave for a nonconstant design. Its score changes from to as goes from to , giving a unique finite fit. If all coincide, only the mean is identifiable and inference on alone is not defined; that exceptional design must be excluded.
The specified ancillary coordinates give . At fixed , therefore,
Meanwhile the constrained observed information is
Substitution proves
Equivalently the sample derivative of the nuisance score is , which equals at the constrained fit and gives the same cancellation. Thus the modified profile likelihood for exponential regression is proportional to the ordinary profile likelihood. This conclusion uses the given ancillary; no proof of its ancillarity is required.