True thermal equilibrium requires a thermal ionizing radiation field as well as chemical balance; equality of photoionization and recombination rates alone would require a specified external radiation field. Under the stronger equilibrium assumption, apply the Saha equation to pure hydrogen. The electron spin factor cancels the ground-state electronic degeneracy, givingAt , and . Charge neutrality gives . Importantly, the known quantity from d is the neutral number density, not the total number density; use Saha neutral fraction from a measured neutral density to obtain . ThereforeThis extraordinarily small neutral fraction is the result of applying thermal equilibrium to dilute intergalactic gas; it is not a realistic inference from photoionization equilibrium with a nonthermal cosmic background. For the axial geometry of d, the equilibrium neutral fraction is smaller by .
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