Model the target as a perfectly absorbing sphere of reaction radius , with a fixed target and a dilute far-field polymerase density . Steady radial diffusion satisfies , , , hence
Therefore, for a rate law multiplying number densities,
For the earliest diffusive target encounter among independent searchers, with independent well-mixed searchers in volume , the approximate first-arrival rate is , giving . The target's effective reaction radius includes encounter geometry and is not uniquely determined by its contour length.
A numerical estimate needs temperature, cell volume and a capture-geometry convention, none of which is fixed numerically in the source. State representative estimates and . The Stokes–Einstein estimate for a sphere of radius in the stipulated viscosity is
Using the target contour scale as an order-of-magnitude gives and
This is an idealized -second-scale estimate, not a unique geometric prediction. Finite cell shape, crowded motion, accessibility and orientational restrictions can reduce the ideal capture rate.
If nonspecific binding merely sequesters searchers and their free fraction is , the three-dimensional capture hazard is reduced fivefold: for those estimates. If bound molecules instead search productively by sliding, a free-time fraction alone cannot determine the total arrival time or its sign of change. That is the distinct facilitated-search mechanism treated in c.

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