Let denote the planar rotation matrix, and choose the initial cup center on the positive axis, as in the requested equations. Its trajectory is . The handle rotates relative to the radial line at signed rate , so its absolute angular velocity is . A positive recurrence time is ; the sign records rotation direction.
Writing , the relation is
or explicitly
One obtains the same result by rotating cup coordinates through into the radially aligned axes, then rotating through into the inertial axes.
At , , and
The axes maintain a fixed orientation in inertial space while their origin accelerates around a circle. This is translation without rotation of the cup frame; it is not an inertial frame because the origin accelerates. In particular its inertial correction is a spatially uniform fictitious force, rather than a Coriolis force from rotation of these axes.

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