Past exam of the mathematical models of financial derivatives course of the University of Oxford / 2021 / 1 / c

The discounted stock over the remaining horizon satisfiesThe Itô integral on the right is a centered normal random variable with variance $a_{\tau }=(1-e^{-2r\tau })/(2r)$. Therefore $\mathbb{Q}(S_T\ge 0\mid S_t=s)=\Phi (d)$, where $d=s/(\sigma \sqrt{a_{\tau }})$. The digital option price and its option delta areThe formula also shows $V(t,0)=e^{-r\tau }/2$ for every $t<T$. At maturity use the specified step payoff, including its chosen value one at zero; the terminal discontinuity is not removed by the earlier-time smoothing.