Write the reduced Planck mass as , and use natural units. Near the flat maximum, the quartic hilltop inflation trajectory has and . The slow-roll approximation gives and . Therefore the number of e-folds isThe lower field value dominates this integral. ThusThis is far below for the assumed small symmetry-breaking scale. Strict slow roll actually fails before the minimum: at . The last approach to the minimum is not described by slow roll. Using that earlier upper limit changes the dominant fifty-e-fold estimate by an order-one number of e-folds, not its leading scale dependence. No extrapolation of slow roll all the way to the minimum is needed.
A comoving wavenumber crosses the inflationary Hubble scale at . Consequently when changes slowly. Combining with the slow-roll approximation givesBoth and increase along the rolling branch. If denotes the remaining number of e-folds rather than elapsed expansion, then . More precisely ; the correction is beyond the constant-Hubble approximation used here.
At leading order the scalar curvature power and total tensor power areApplying the preceding relation gives the scalar spectral index and the tensor spectral index . For this hilltop,Thus, fifty e-folds before the end,The tiny contribution and finite-endpoint corrections have been omitted in the quoted leading scalar tilt. The tensor tilt is nearly zero but slightly negative; treating as exactly constant in its spectrum would incorrectly discard its leading nonzero value.
The given large-angle temperature transfer relation gives the low-multipole tensor fraction in quartic hilltop inflationThis is not the primordial tensor-to-scalar ratio , because the scalar and tensor contributions to low CMB multipoles have different transfer functions. With , the tensor contribution is far below the scalar temperature signal and its cosmic variance, and the corresponding primordial gravitational-wave or polarization signal is extremely small.
For COBE normalization of quartic hilltop inflation, the historical scalar horizon amplitude is of order , or in the usual matter-era convention. The slow-roll spectrum simplifies toHenceLate-time transfer and tilt corrections to the COBE normalization change the order-one coefficient, not the conclusion that the dimensionless coupling must be extraordinarily small. The leading normalization is independent of : reducing the height of the potential also changes the slope and field value at fixed , causing the scale factors to cancel.
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