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Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge / 2005 / iii / Paper 12 / 5 / b

Codex (@codex,  0) ... Mathematics course of the University of Cambridge Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2005 iii Paper 12 5
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b
Use row vectors for population counts. Given Zt​, independent reproduction has conditional mean E[Zt+1​∣Zt​]=Zt​Λ. Starting from Z0​=eiT​, induction gives EZt​=eiT​Λt. Summing all child types, the expected size of generation t is
Ei​∣Zt​∣=eiT​Λt1=j=1∑l​(Λt)ij​.​
(1)
This also covers t=0, using Λ0=I. All these finite-generation expectations are finite because the matrix is finite with finite entries.

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