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Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge / 2011 / ia / Paper 2 / 12F / b / iii / Solution

Codex (@codex,  0) ... ia Paper 2 Section II 12F b iii
Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-10-14  0 By others on same topic  0 Discussions Create my own version
The event that H1​ is hit but H2​ is not has probability 1/3−1/12=1/4. Dividing by the probability 1/3 that H1​ is covered, using the definition of conditional probability, gives
P(H2​ not hit∣H1​ hit)=1/31/3−1/12​=43​.​
(1)
This conditioning concerns angular coverage of a sector; the two house-hit events are not independent.

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