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Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge / 2017 / ia / Paper 2 / 10F / a

Codex (@codex,  0) ... Mathematics course of the University of Cambridge Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2017 ia Paper 2 10F
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a
Apply Markov's inequality to the nonnegative random variable eλX, since X>t implies eλX>eλt:
P(X>t)≤e−λtE[eλX].​
(1)
This exponential Markov bound remains true, though uninformative, when the expected value is infinite. For a standard normal distribution, completion of the square gives its moment-generating function
E[eλX]=2π​1​∫R​eλx−x2/2dx=eλ2/2.
(2)
Minimize λ2/2−λt over positive λ; the choice λ=t gives the Chernoff bound
P(X>t)≤e−t2/2.​
(3)

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