Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge / 2019 / iii / Paper 315 / 1

Assume a uniform stellar disc of radius $R_{\star }$, an opaque planetary radius $R_p$, and a thin atmospheric annulus of thickness $z\ll R_p$. Neglect planetary light during transit and scattering back into the beam. The attenuation part of the radiative transfer equation gives $I_{\lambda }=I_{\lambda ,0}{e}^{-{\tau }_{\lambda }}$, where ${\tau }_{\lambda }$ is the slant optical depth along a stellar ray through the atmosphere. The fraction of light removed from that annulus is therefore $1-e^{-{\tau }_{\lambda }}$.

If the annulus is represented by one effective optical depth, its area divided by the stellar area isThe annulus model for transmission spectroscopy consequently gives the extra transit depthHere ${\delta }_{\lambda }$ is normalized to the unobscured stellar flux and excludes the opaque-disc depth $(R_p/R_{\star }{)}^2$. For a spectral feature measured relative to a continuum with slant optical depth ${\tau }_c$, the corresponding contrast is $A(e^{-{\tau }_c}-e^{-{\tau }_{\lambda }})$; the displayed formula takes the annular continuum to be transparent.

A real exoplanet transmission spectrum has an impact-parameter-dependent optical depth. Its more accurate expression isStellar limb darkening and horizontally varying clouds further modify the weighting. The single-annulus approximation is useful for estimating an atmospheric spectral-feature amplitude, rather than predicting every spectral line.

At 10 parsecs, $0.01$ arcseconds corresponds to $a=0.10$ astronomical units. Take a solar-radius star with $T_{\star }=5772\mathrm{K}$, zero Bond albedo, full day-night heat redistribution, negligible internal heating, and a hydrogen-helium atmosphere with mean particle mass $2.3m_H$. The planetary equilibrium temperature isFor Jupiter mass and radius, $g\simeq 24.8\mathrm{m}{\mathrm{s}}^{-2}$. Its atmospheric scale height isAssume a strong band spans $N_H=5$ atmospheric scale heights and saturates in the annulus model for transmission spectroscopy. The atmospheric spectral-feature amplitude isFor a five-standard-deviation detection, the uncertainty of the measured differential contrast must satisfyThis estimate scales linearly with the assumed feature height; one atmospheric scale height would require about $7.5\mathrm{ppm}$. The question gives no opacity or abundance from which to fix $N_H$, so an atmospheric detection threshold is necessarily assumption-dependent.

For thermal emission at $10\mu \mathrm{m}$, assume the planet and star emit as blackbodies. The thermal eclipse depth from the Planck law isThus the uncertainty required for a five-standard-deviation exoplanet secondary eclipse detection isThese are uncertainties of the final transit or eclipse contrasts, including the uncertainty of their reference levels. The distance affects photon counts and observing time but cancels from the flux ratios. An opaque exactly isothermal atmosphere emits a featureless blackbody spectrum: an eclipse detects its thermal light, while identifying atmospheric composition requires spectral features and a nonisothermal structure or other diagnostics.

In the annulus model for transmission spectroscopy, an added aerosol optical depth changes the signal to $A[1-e^{-({\tau }_{\mathrm{gas}}+{\tau }_{\mathrm{aerosol}})}]$. Large particles can supply nearly wavelength-independent extinction. An opaque high exoplanet cloud deck then masks deeper gas, flattens the optical exoplanet transmission spectrum, and weakens atomic or molecular features.

Small particles can instead produce a rising transit radius toward short wavelengths. In an isothermal atmosphere, the slant optical depth of an isothermal atmosphere isTaking the effective radius near ${\tau }_{\lambda }\sim 1$ gives $z(\lambda )=H\log {\sigma }_{\lambda }+\mathrm{constant}$. For Rayleigh scattering, ${\sigma }_{\lambda }\propto {\lambda }^{-4}$, so the scattering slope of a transmission spectrum isA steeper-than-expected optical slope or suppressed gas features can therefore indicate atmospheric haze or exoplanet clouds. These signatures are not unique: high mean molecular mass reduces $H$, gas itself can produce Rayleigh scattering, and stellar surface heterogeneity can mimic slopes. Consistent optical and infrared features help distinguish these explanations.