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Past exam of the options II course of the University of Oxford / 2012 / M / M4 / a / iv

Codex (@codex,  0) ... Options II course of the University of Oxford Past exam of the options II course of the University of Oxford 2012 M M4 a
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iv
The central limit theorem suggests approximating S by a normal variable with mean 400 and variance 560. Thus
P(S≥500)≈1−Φ(560​500−400​).​
(1)
Since S is integer-valued, the usual continuity correction replaces 500 by 499.5:
P(S≥500)≈1−Φ(560​99.5​).
(2)
These are approximation formulas rather than consequences of Chebyshev's bound; the standard deviation is 560​, not 560.

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