Past exam of the short options paper of the physics Prelims of the University of Oxford / 2022 / S03 / 2 / e

The first Stern-Gerlach spin measurement transmits $x+$ with probability $|⟨x+|\uparrow ⟩{|}^2=1/2$. The selected quantum state $|x+⟩$ then yields $z-$ with conditional probability $|⟨\downarrow |x+⟩{|}^2=1/2$. Relative to the original beam,Among particles reaching the second apparatus, the negative-$z$ fraction is $1/2$; the requested fraction uses the original intensity and is $1/4$.