Past exam of the year 2 of the earth sciences (geology) course of the University of Oxford / 2023 / Paper 1 / 1 / c / Solution

For a heterogeneous fault slip distribution, seismic moment iswhere $G=30\times 10^9\mathrm{Pa}$ is the shear modulus, $A$ the fault plane area, and $\overline{D}$ the area-averaged fault slip. The peak colour cannot be used as $\overline{D}$: most of the illustrated fault plane has much smaller fault slip.

One reproducible graphical estimate divides the approximately $190\mathrm{km}$ long and $40\mathrm{km}$ down-dip panel into seven $25\mathrm{km}$ strips and a final $15\mathrm{km}$ strip. Reading area averages from the colour scale, from southwest to northeast, gives roughly $1.7,2.7,3.1,1.8,1.9,1.7,1.0,0.3\mathrm{m}$. This includes the pale, nearly unslipped lower part of each strip. Henceand $M_0\simeq 4.2\times 10^{20}\mathrm{N}\mathrm{m}$. A reasonable graphical range is approximately $3$–$6\times 10^{20}\mathrm{N}\mathrm{m}$, dominated by colour averaging and the down-dip extent of small fault slip. The corresponding moment magnitude is about $M_w=7.7$, using $M_w=\frac{2}{3}({\log }_{10}(M_0/\mathrm{N}\mathrm{m})-9.1)$. This is an estimate from the supplied distribution, rather than a substitution of a catalogued earthquake magnitude.