A power transformation replaces positive data by a member of a parameterized family of powers, commonly to improve the fit of a normal linear model.
For , the Box–Cox transformation isThe value of can be selected by maximizing its profile likelihood; corresponds to an affine transformation of the original response, while gives a logarithmic transformation.
A transformed-response regression estimates the conditional mean on the transformed scale. Inverting that mean does not generally estimate the original-scale mean, because nonlinear transformations do not commute with expected values. For a smooth inverse and centered transformed error of variance , a second-order Taylor expansion gives the displayed local correction. For at positive , it is . The variance is the response's residual variance, not the sampling variance of the estimated mean. This approximation requires errors small enough that the inverse is meaningful over the relevant range; it is not an exact moment formula for arbitrary transformed noise.
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