Channel switching under uncertainty in a combined receiver horizon occurs when uncertainty changes which receiver has the latest accessible input time. For channel , let be its last output time minus its effective input-to-output offset. The combined horizon is , as in receiver-latency uncertainty in the inferred input-time horizon. Away from ties a small perturbation may preserve the maximizing channel; near a tie it need not. Propagating only that channel's variance omits the switching operation.
An original two-channel model makes the effect exact. Suppose and are independent normal random variables with common mean and standard deviation . Independence gives
where is the standard normal distribution cumulative distribution function. This square is already enough to show that is not normal: .
To calculate the resulting bias relative to the common nominal horizon, write . The difference has normal distribution with variance , hence . The sum and difference are independent in this model, giving
For and , the combined mean is about and its standard deviation is about . The formulas concern the uncertainty distribution of the horizon, not a promise of extra observable future illumination. The normal cdf/ppf routines provide direct evaluation of the probabilities.[ref]
Shared clock or calibration errors invalidate the independence product. The distribution of the maximum of correlated receiver horizons must retain the joint timing model; NIST's general uncertainty guidance retains input covariance and requires distributional justification for coverage.[ref] For hard bounds instead, and imply without selecting a fixed winning channel. Neither calculation establishes invertibility of the physical receiver.
A common-clock contribution to a maximum receiver horizon is a residual timing error that survives in every channel's inferred input-time horizon. Write , with common error independent of the remaining channel errors. Then the identity
shows that selecting the latest channel does not average away the common term. With finite variances,
Here means a component remaining after each channel's subtraction . A clock contribution that already cancels inside that subtraction must not be added again; see receiver-latency uncertainty in the inferred input-time horizon.
For two equal nominal horizons , take independent channel errors and . The independent maximum moments derived in channel switching under uncertainty in a combined receiver horizon give
If the common error is also normal, each channel has variance and their correlation is , recovering the equal-channel model in distribution of the maximum of correlated receiver horizons.
For an original example, choose and . The combined mean is about above , and its standard deviation is about . Yet the difference between channel horizons has standard deviation only , because cancels there. Good agreement between channels therefore need not establish a precise absolute horizon.
A timing experiment needs an independently justified reference for the common component, in addition to channel-to-channel alignment observations. Shared-input covariance is explicitly retained in NIST's uncertainty law.[ref] Repeated reads sharing the same clock realization cannot estimate away its absolute displacement simply by choosing the largest result.
The input-time horizon of a delayed optical receiver record is the latest physical input time that could influence the recorded output, given the receiver's causal onset delay. If for and the last output time is , convolution depends only on input times
Thus is a necessary timing limit on information in that record. Recoverability within the limit additionally depends on bandwidth, noise, sampling and the response's invertibility. Causal indistinguishability of delayed optical inputs on a finite record shows why later input changes cannot be inferred from the existing output samples.
For several channels with last recorded times and known onset delays , the latest possible input horizon is
Any input perturbation starting strictly after is invisible in every stored channel. A channel's latest output timestamp alone is insufficient to compare its input horizon with another channel's.
For an original example, channel 1 records through with delay , while channel 2 records through with delay . Their input limits are and ; the combined limit is . Knowing both response functions exactly still supplies no observation of an input pulse beginning later than that limit.
A receiver-latency uncertainty in the inferred input-time horizon also changes the timing claim. If channel 1's delay is known only to lie between and , its possible horizon ranges from to . An input beginning at could affect the record for one allowed delay but arrive too late for another. Using the conservative endpoint avoids claiming timing access that depends on an unresolved latency. It still does not guarantee successful reconstruction of every earlier input.
NIST characterized detector, cable and oscilloscope as a combined response chain using a short known optical pulse.[ref] Such a calibration must relate output timing to the physical input time origin. The delays above are illustrative, not quoted apparatus values. De-embedding known latency aligns the record's time reference; it cannot extend observations into an unrecorded future interval.