For the induced square lattice subgraph in , is the probability of an open graph path from its left boundary to its right boundary under independent bond percolation of density . Width and height count lattice spacings. Dual bond percolation exchanges failure with a top-to-bottom dual crossing of dimensions , with the usual exterior boundary vertices.
Take the increasing event that a finite square torus graph contains some long horizontal or vertical rectangle crossing. Translations and a quarter turn make this a transitive increasing event on its bonds. A positive critical crossing bound and the Friedgut-Kalai sharp threshold theorem make its supercritical probability tend to one. A bounded family of shorter, thicker rectangles intercepts every possible long crossing. The square-root trick for positively associated events transfers the high probability to each fixed intercepting rectangle. Using every possible translate would lose the useful bounded exponent.
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