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A useful description of the low-column Lyman-alpha forest at $z\simeq 3$ is a power law $f_X(N,z)=A(z)N^{-\beta }$, with $\beta$ around $1.4$–$1.5$ over the ordinary unsaturated forest range. The same column dependence holds for $f_z$ at a fixed redshift. It is not a universal unbroken power law: saturation, increased neutral fraction and changing absorber populations produce breaks. Lyman limit systems become optically thick at $N\simeq 10^{17.2}{\mathrm{cm}}^{-2}$ because $N{\sigma }_{912}\simeq 1$ with ${\sigma }_{912}\simeq 6.3\times 10^{-18}{\mathrm{cm}}^2$. Damped Lyman-alpha systems have $N\gtrsim 2\times 10^{20}{\mathrm{cm}}^{-2}$ and strong radiative damping wings. They are rare in number but contain substantial neutral mass. The highest-column distribution steepens or cuts off rather than extending indefinitely.

This sketch shows representative shapes and transition scales, not an observational fit; its ordinate is distribution per unit column, not counts per logarithmic bin. In an Einstein-de Sitter universe, $H=H_0(1+z{)}^{3/2}$, so a fixed comoving population with fixed physical cross-section above a fixed column threshold has $d\mathcal{N}/dz\propto (1+z{)}^{1/2}$. ThusThe observed redshift evolution of the Lyman-alpha forest is much stronger for commonly selected forest lines. For example, Kim, Cristiani and D'Odorico's absorption survey finds an index about $2.19$ in $d\mathcal{N}/dz\propto (1+z{)}^{\gamma }$ for $10^{13.64}<N/{\mathrm{cm}}^{-2}<10^{16}$ over $1.5<z<4$, corresponding to an increase by approximately $2^{2.19}\simeq 4.56$. This number is selection-dependent. Expansion changes the gas density, and the evolving cosmic ionizing background changes its neutral fraction through photoionization equilibrium, moving systems across a fixed neutral-column threshold. Structure also evolves. A non-evolving population with fixed physical cross-section is therefore not an adequate physical model of the observed forest.

For a fixed column density or rest-equivalent-width threshold, the number of ordinary Lyman-alpha forest features per unit redshift generally increases towards higher redshift. Over much of $z\sim 1$–$4$, a rough description is $d\mathcal{N}/dz\propto (1+z{)}^{\gamma }$ with an index of order $2$–$3$, dependent on selection; the evolution is much slower at low redshift. Near reionization, blending and widespread opacity make a decomposition into individually detected lines increasingly inappropriate.

First separate physical evolution from geometrical path length. For comoving absorber density $n_c$ and proper interception area ${\sigma }_p$, absorber incidence and comoving number density givesEven a non-evolving population is not constant per unit redshift. Using absorption distance removes this particular geometrical effect.

The remaining redshift evolution of the Lyman-alpha forest reflects several competing processes. Cosmic expansion dilutes the gas; at fixed overdensity, photoionization equilibrium gives $n_{\mathrm{HI}}\propto \alpha (T)(1+z{)}^6/\Gamma$, so dilution can move many features below a fixed threshold. The cosmic ionizing background evolves as quasars, stellar sources and ionizing-photon absorption evolve; a decline of its intensity at late times partly offsets dilution. Photoheating changes temperature and radiative recombination, while gravitational instability redistributes gas into denser structures and hot shocked phases and changes its velocity field. Thus evolving line counts are not a direct count of conserved clouds; the density, thermal state, radiation field, geometry and observational selection must all be accounted for. The high-redshift increase and its physical interpretation are documented in the forest observations and models.

The Lyman-alpha forest is the multitude of Lyman-alpha absorption lines blueward of the broad emission line in a distant quasar spectrum. Neutral hydrogen along the line of sight absorbs at its rest wavelength ${\lambda }_{\alpha }\simeq 1216\mathring{\mathrm{A}}$, so each absorber appears at ${\lambda }_{\mathrm{obs}}=(1+z_c){\lambda }_{\alpha }$. Much of the ordinary forest traces modest overdensities in the mostly ionized intergalactic medium, rather than compact objects made primarily of neutral gas. Strong self-shielded systems form a distinct absorption regime. Line strengths constrain neutral-hydrogen column density, while line widths contain thermal and velocity information.

The redshift evolution of the Lyman-alpha forest is normally described, for a fixed line selection, by an incidence $d\mathcal{N}/dz=A(1+z{)}^{\gamma }$. At redshifts of a few the line incidence and mean absorption increase rapidly with redshift; typical selected populations have $\gamma$ of order $2$–$3$, not a universal exponent. Low-redshift evolution is appreciably flatter. Geometry alone cannot explain the full change: for a fixed comoving abundance and fixed proper cross section one obtains $d\mathcal{N}/dz\propto (1+z{)}^2/H(z)$, only $(1+z{)}^{1/2}$ in matter domination. Density evolution, thermal evolution and the cosmic ionizing background change how many structures exceed the chosen absorption threshold. In optically thin photoionization equilibrium,so for roughly fixed overdensity the rising cosmic density alone makes $n_{\mathrm{HI}}$ scale approximately as $\alpha (T)(1+z{)}^6/{\Gamma }_{\mathrm{HI}}$. At low redshift, the declining ionizing radiation partly offsets the decrease in gas density. Near the end of reionization the forest becomes very opaque and the simple individual-line description ceases to suffice.

The quasar proximity effect is the statistically reduced absorption near the quasar's own redshift, contrary to the general increase of absorption towards higher redshift. It results from additional ionizing radiation from the nearby quasar. At fixed density and temperature the local photoionization rate becomes ${\Gamma }_{\mathrm{bg}}+{\Gamma }_Q$. Accordinglywhere $N_{\mathrm{HI}}^{(0)}$ is the value with the background alone. Lines weaken and some fall below the detection threshold; the absorbers need not have been physically removed. This gives the proximity-effect estimator of the ionizing background.

For an approximately isotropic quasar and a nearby cloud at proper distance $d$, calculate its flux from $F_{\nu ,Q}\simeq L_{\nu ,Q}/(4\pi d^2)$, allowing for absorption and relative redshift if necessary. The quasar and isotropic background ionization rates arewhere ${\nu }_0$ is the hydrogen ionization threshold, $h_P$ is the Planck constant and $J_{\nu }$ is the background specific intensity. Establish the ordinary absorption statistics far from quasars, then fit their reduction as a function of distance and known quasar luminosity. The scale at which $\omega \sim 1$ gives the background rate; an assumed spectral shape converts this to an intensity near the ionization threshold. For matching spectral shapes, $\omega \simeq L_{{\nu }_0,Q}/(16{\pi }^2{d}^2{J}_{{\nu }_0})$. A column-density distribution proportional to $N^{-p}$ gives a line-incidence suppression $(1+\omega {)}^{1-p}$ above a fixed threshold, by shifting that threshold to $(1+\omega )N_{\min }$ in the unperturbed distribution. This is the physical measurement principle established in adsabs.harvard.edu/pdf/1988ApJ...327..570B .

The inference is statistical. Quasars live in overdense environments, which enhance absorption and can mask extra ionization. Emission-redshift errors smear the effect, as part (iii) demonstrates. Finite source lifetimes, anisotropic emission, variability and departures from ionization equilibrium can also alter the radial profile. These effects must be modeled rather than attributed entirely to the cosmic ionizing background.

The background is produced mainly by ionizing radiation from accretion-powered quasars and hot massive stars in star-forming galaxies. Their relative importance changes with redshift. Quasars have hard spectra and can ionize helium as well as hydrogen; stellar photons depend strongly on their ionizing photon escape fraction from galaxies. Integrating source luminosities over the luminosity function and propagating radiation through absorbing gas gives the background. At high redshift the observed quasar population alone need not supply the required hydrogen ionization, so star-forming galaxies can be essential, as discussed in arxiv.org/abs/0807.4177 . Diffuse recombination radiation can contribute, but a residual primordial radiation field is not an adequate ionizing source.