Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge / 2005 / iii / Paper 74 / 2 / e / Solution

For a fixed column density or rest-equivalent-width threshold, the number of ordinary Lyman-alpha forest features per unit redshift generally increases towards higher redshift. Over much of $z\sim 1$–$4$, a rough description is $d\mathcal{N}/dz\propto (1+z{)}^{\gamma }$ with an index of order $2$–$3$, dependent on selection; the evolution is much slower at low redshift. Near reionization, blending and widespread opacity make a decomposition into individually detected lines increasingly inappropriate.

First separate physical evolution from geometrical path length. For comoving absorber density $n_c$ and proper interception area ${\sigma }_p$, absorber incidence and comoving number density givesEven a non-evolving population is not constant per unit redshift. Using absorption distance removes this particular geometrical effect.

The remaining redshift evolution of the Lyman-alpha forest reflects several competing processes. Cosmic expansion dilutes the gas; at fixed overdensity, photoionization equilibrium gives $n_{\mathrm{HI}}\propto \alpha (T)(1+z{)}^6/\Gamma$, so dilution can move many features below a fixed threshold. The cosmic ionizing background evolves as quasars, stellar sources and ionizing-photon absorption evolve; a decline of its intensity at late times partly offsets dilution. Photoheating changes temperature and radiative recombination, while gravitational instability redistributes gas into denser structures and hot shocked phases and changes its velocity field. Thus evolving line counts are not a direct count of conserved clouds; the density, thermal state, radiation field, geometry and observational selection must all be accounted for. The high-redshift increase and its physical interpretation are documented in the forest observations and models.