Thermal activation is barrier crossing enabled by thermal fluctuations. A system can remain for a long time near a local minimum of an energy landscape, then receive a fluctuation large enough to cross an energy barrier. Its most probable state and its waiting time for escape are therefore different questions.
In a simple high-barrier regime, the escape rate is approximated by , an Arrhenius equation. The barrier controls the strong temperature dependence, while the prefactor depends on dynamics near the initial state and transition region. Plotting against tests the exponential model: a constant prefactor gives slope . Interpreting a slope still requires care if several escape paths compete or the prefactor varies with temperature. A large barrier can delay approach to thermal equilibrium even when the final equilibrium state is known.
For gapped excitations with and approximately constant prefactor, two heat capacity measurements at give the displayed activation-energy estimate. A more general prefactor changes its numerator to . The two-point estimate measures an effective exponential scale; it does not independently determine the prefactor or establish a detailed excitation density of states.

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