Solution

ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematics-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2001/iii/paper-32/4/solution

An M-estimator based on an estimating equation chooses a consistent root of
Its population target solves . For a scalar parameter, suppose the root is locally unique and
For the contaminated distribution , differentiate its population equation at zero contamination. The influence function satisfies
Consequently
The constant of proportionality is independent of . A local expansion of the sample estimating equation similarly gives
The central limit theorem yields asymptotic normality with the sandwich variance of an M-estimator
Thus the first-order variance of the unscaled estimator is . For a vector parameter the same differentiation gives and , with and .
For the location problem, take the target location to be zero and let have the standard normal distribution, with density and distribution function . An odd score has . For a differentiable score, integration by parts gives
The last expression also gives the appropriate derivative of the population equation for bounded monotone scores with jumps, by differentiating the shifted normal density. Assume and put . Then
Multiplying a score by a positive constant changes neither its estimator nor this normalized influence function.
First establish feasibility. The bound implies
so necessarily . For , let solve
This solution is unique: the ratio tends to as , tends to infinity as , and has positive derivative because
Take the Huber score . Its derivative is one on and zero outside, so . Hence
It is odd, nondecreasing, meets the bound, and satisfies .
To prove optimality, put . For each fixed , the minimum of over is attained by projecting onto , which is exactly . Therefore every competing normalized influence function satisfies
Taking expectations, the right-hand side vanishes because both functions satisfy . Thus . This proves the optimal bounded influence function for normal location, even over the larger class of all bounded normalized functions, and hence over the required odd nondecreasing class. Its minimum asymptotic variance is
The numerator is .
At the included boundary , equality in the feasibility bound forces almost everywhere. This is the influence function of the sample median, with . It is obtained from the rescaled scores as . The boundary solution is the sign score, or equivalently the median estimator. Literal substitution of in the clipped score gives the identically zero function and no identifiable estimating equation; the printed clipped formula therefore requires this limiting interpretation at equality.

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