Sample mean sufficiency depends on the model

ID: sample-mean-sufficiency-depends-on-the-model

For the normal sample sum with known variance, assume independent and identically distributed with fixed known variance . The joint probability density factors as
The Fisher-Neyman factorization theorem proves that the sum, and hence the sample mean, is a sufficient statistic for . Its remaining deviations have a joint Gaussian law independent of and are independent of . If both and are unknown, the sample mean alone loses information about variance; the pair is sufficient for the full statistical parameter.
A discrete counterexample shows why a sample mean is not automatically sufficient for arbitrary statistical models. Let be independent and identically distributed on with
Each observation has mean one. The arrangements all give sample mean one, yet
This conditional probability is at and at . The conditional distribution therefore still depends on the unknown statistical parameter: this sample mean is not a sufficient statistic. The useful reduction depends on the family of full-data laws, even when its mean stays fixed.

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