For events , the probabilistic inclusion-exclusion principle is
To prove it, fix an outcome lying in exactly events. Its total coefficient on the right is
by the binomial theorem; outcomes in no event contribute zero. Taking expectations of this pointwise indicator identity proves the formula. Truncating after the pair terms gives the Bonferroni inequalities
For the final bound, let and . The intersection assumption gives
The Cauchy-Schwarz inequality applied to yields . Therefore
so the required universal constant may be taken as . This is a second moment method estimate.
For a relativistic species the supplied relation makes its entropy density proportional to . The fermion-to-boson thermal integral ratio gives the factor for each fermionic degree of freedom, so the electromagnetic plasma immediately before electron-positron annihilation in cosmology has
After annihilation only the two photon polarizations remain, so .
The neutrinos have already undergone neutrino decoupling. They therefore receive none of the electron-positron entropy and cool as . In the still-coupled electromagnetic plasma, cosmological entropy conservation gives . If and denote the common temperature and scale factor just before annihilation, then at a later scale factor ,
Dividing gives the Cosmic neutrino background temperature ratio
A prediction interval is a pair of statistics such that, for every and , an independent future response at the specified input satisfies
In the normal linear model, assume has full column rank and write
For a new observation
independent of the training sample, the prediction error is
The two terms on the right are independent centered normal random variables, while
Consequently, with the new-point regression leverage
we have
The assumption in the question gives
This variable is independent of ; it is also independent of the new error . Therefore it is independent of the standardized prediction error, and the defining normal-over-chi-square representation of Student's t-distribution gives
If is the corresponding upper quantile, symmetry yields
Solving these inequalities for proves that the prediction interval in a normal linear model is
Its center and endpoints depend only on the observed data and , and the pivotal calculation proves the required coverage uniformly in the unknown and .

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