Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2012 iii Paper 39 4 Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-07
There is a genuine qualification: the first printed inequality is valid as a useful general assertion for , but is false for arbitrary . Also the displayed likelihood ratio presupposes . We first prove the intended bound and then give a counterexample to the unrestricted quantifier.
For any estimator , set . By the triangle inequality, on , while on . HenceLet with . On , . ThereforeThe last step is Markov inequality. Taking the supremum over the model and then the infimum over estimators proves the intended metric two-point risk bound. At the right side is zero. For a negative right side is also harmless, but a positive right side need not be a lower bound.
Here is an explicit counterexample with positive probability density functions and . Let , , and take the model consisting ofUse the L2 norm metric, for which , and take for every . The majority-half decision selects if at least two observations lie in . Each error probability is , so its maximum normalized risk function is . This is also the likelihood-ratio test, giving . At the proposed right side is , contradicting the risk of this explicit estimator. Thus the intended range restriction cannot be omitted.
For the second request use the intended L2 norm metric . The PDF defines its square, not the square itself as a metric. PutBoth probability density functions belong to the model, and . The two-point choice may depend on , because the lower bound is applied separately at each sample size. Under , the product likelihood ratio satisfiesThis is the product chi-squared divergence. By Cauchy-Schwarz inequality, . With , the proved metric two-point risk bound has normalized right side greater than . ConsequentlyThe proof works for every despite the introductory . Measurability of the functions defining the probability density functions is understood. This establishes the requested lower bound; it does not assert a matching upper bound over this unrestricted class.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2016 iii Paper 210 1 d Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-06
For , the chi-squared divergence is . Write for the likelihood ratios of the complete -ball sample. Since and , the second moment of a mixture likelihood ratio givesIf instead denotes a one-ball likelihood ratio, its cross moment must be raised to the th power for the full sample, by independence.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2016 iii Paper 210 2 d Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-06
Define . Expanding its chi-squared divergence by the second moment of a mixture likelihood ratio, and using the supplied one-observation cross moment and independence, givesHere are independent uniform members of the specified family of cyclic intervals. Their overlap does not have the hypergeometric distribution of arbitrary uniform -subsets. The family's geometry must be retained.
Let . Since and , we obtain . Taking the expected value proves the upper bound. The factor in the last exponent is present in the PDF and missing in the TeX aid.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2016 iii Paper 210 2 e Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-06
Two independent cyclic intervals intersect with probability at most . For , precisely the starting-point offsets can overlap; for larger , the upper bound is automatic. The cyclic interval overlap bound and the preceding chi-squared divergence estimate therefore giveAs in 1(e), the square-root hypothesis is meaningful when . The chi-squared testing lower bound bounds the total variation distance by . The worst individual Type II error dominates the error under the uniform mixture model. ThusTaking small makes this lower bound informative. This argument uses the actual cyclic-interval alternative, without substituting a different family of subsets.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2019 iii Paper 215 2 a Solution 2026-10-03
The chain is a random walk on the finite abelian group , so its stationary distribution is uniform and its characters diagonalize the transition operator. For one coordinate and , the eigenvalue isUniformly in ,for an absolute . Hence the one-coordinate chi-squared distance after is at most . The coordinates evolve independently, so the product formula for chi-squared distance givesThe chi-squared divergence bound on total variation distance now yieldsuniformly in .
For , the first nonconstant character has eigenvalue modulus , uniformly in . Testing against its real or imaginary part gives a fixed positive total-variation distance until time . Thus
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2022 iii Paper 210 4 Solution 2026-09-28
The pushforward measure of under isThe Lebesgue decomposition theorem says that for sigma-finite measures there are unique measures and such that
For a convex lower-semicontinuous function with , choose any measure dominating probability measures , put and , and define the f-divergenceusing the lower-semicontinuous perspective value when . This definition includes the singular part and is independent of .
To prove the data processing inequality for f-divergences, let and use . The densities of and , pulled back to , are and . Since the perspectiveis jointly convex, conditional Jensen inequality givesIntegration proves
Fix a probability measure . Let be uniform on and, conditionally on , draw from . Compare this joint law with the reference law under which is uniform and independent of . Forthe target expectation is , while its reference expectation isbecause the form a partition. Its reference variance is . The Cauchy-Schwarz inequality applied to the likelihood ratio givesThe last divergence separates over :Taking the infimum over all probability measures proves the required inequality.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2026 iii Paper 224 3 c Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-09-25
The elementary logarithm inequality givesSince ,This proves , relating relative entropy to chi-squared divergence.
Second moment of a mixture likelihood ratio Created 2026-10-06 Updated 2026-10-07
If and the nonnegative mixture weights sum to one, the likelihood ratio of the mixture model is . Expanding proves the displayed chi-squared divergence identity. For independent random variables sampled from a fixed component, one-observation cross moments multiply across observations. The component is drawn once for the whole sample; redrawing it per observation gives a different mixture model.