Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2003 iii Paper 29 1 c Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
Again put . For any fixed real , the random variableis nonnegative and integrable. The sign function of is bounded and -measurable, so conditioning and equality of the probability distributions giveThus almost surely. On this forces ; on it forces ; on it forces . In particular up to a null set. These two events have equal probability, again by equality of the probability distributions, so they agree up to a null set. ConsequentlyTaking establishes the suggested sign assertion, but this alone would not exclude unequal positive values. Apply the same argument simultaneously to the countable set of rational . Outside the union of their null sets, unequal and would have a rational strictly between them, giving opposite signs. This proves the conditional expectation preserving a distribution result:Only integrability was used; no finite second moment or hidden square-integrability assumption is needed.