Let A,B be indicator random variables with conditional independence given a random variable T, and suppose E[A∣T]=E[B∣T]=g(T). Then the law of total expectation gives E[AB]=E[g(T)2] and E[A]=E[B]=E[g(T)]. Thus their covariance is the variance of g(T) and is nonnegative. The result explains correlated component evolutionary states in a coeval binary population without correlation between initial masses.
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