Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2023 ii Paper 4 27J b Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-10-03
Let be the homogeneous Poisson point process in with intensity measure , and map each point to its radius . For an interval , the pushforward measure of the intensity isThe Mapping theorem for Poisson point processes therefore shows that the radii form a Non-homogeneous Poisson point process with intensity function
If is the distance to the closest star, the event says that the ball of radius contains no points. The zero-count probability of a Poisson distribution givesDifferentiating its cumulative distribution function yields the probability density function
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2023 ii Paper 4 28K b Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-09-25
Conditionally on , the cumulative distribution function of is the weighted empirical distributionFor fixed , the strong law of large numbers gives, almost surely,whileThe ratio therefore converges almost surely to . This is precisely the claimed convergence in distribution of the self-normalized importance sampling resample.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2023 ii Paper 4 28K c Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-09-25
Apply part (b) simultaneously at every rational ; the intersection of these probability-one events still has probability one. On that event, monotonicity and continuity extend the convergence from the rationals to every real .
More directly, fix . Since is a continuous cumulative distribution function, choose rational pointsso that the two tails have and , while every increment . Part (b) makes at all these finitely many points for all sufficiently large . If , monotonicity givesso ; the same estimate follows in the tails. This proves the uniform convergence of distribution functions to a continuous limit:almost surely.
Probability integral transform Created 2026-10-05 Updated 2026-10-06
If has a continuous cumulative distribution function , then has the uniform distribution on . Combined with inverse transform sampling, this constructs the monotone rearrangement to a target with quantile function .
Quantile derivative identity 2026-10-06
If is the quantile function of an absolutely continuous probability distribution with probability density function , then for almost every . Gaps in the support may give jumps in , so the identity concerns its ordinary almost-everywhere derivative. It follows by differentiating the inverse relation to the cumulative distribution function.
Sequential private-value all-pay contest 2026-10-06
Two players pay their invested efforts regardless of outcome. A leader invests first, and a follower observes that effort before deciding. With ties favoring the follower and unit costs, a follower of value matches leader effort when , and otherwise declines. For a continuous follower cumulative distribution function , the leader wins with probability and has payoff .
Squared uniform distribution 2026-10-06
The square of a uniform distribution variable on has cumulative distribution function and an integrable inverse-square-root probability density function. Reflection replaces by in that density.