For , a positive endemic equilibrium requires and gives susceptible fraction . Below threshold the disease-free susceptible fraction is one. The reciprocal relation is a property of this homogeneous scalar SIS model, not a universal identity for heterogeneous populations.
Let be the infectious proportion in a closed population. With homogeneous frequency-dependent transmission rate and recovery rate , the SIS model is
The basic reproduction number is the expected number of secondary infections produced by a typical newly infected individual in an otherwise susceptible population under the specified contact conditions. Here the infectious duration has mean , so .
For the attracting endemic equilibrium has . The homogeneous SIS susceptible fraction is therefore
For the physical equilibrium is disease-free, , . At equality approach to zero is algebraic. Thus is an endemic relation, not a formula demanding more than one susceptible person per person below the invasion threshold.
For and , a nonzero infected equilibrium requires . Using and population conservation gives
Eliminate before assessing stability, since perturbations must preserve the total population. The resulting Jacobian matrix at this endemic equilibrium is
Its trace is negative and its determinant positive, so both eigenvalues have negative real part: the endemic equilibrium is locally asymptotically stable on the fixed-population plane. The full three-variable system has a neutral direction corresponding to changing the conserved population.
Writing , as the trace is and the determinant is . Hence the discriminant . As , the trace is and the determinant is again , giving a positive discriminant . Both quantities are in both limits, but the eigenvalues are complex for sufficiently small and real for sufficiently large .
At an endemic equilibrium, , so . Substitution into the susceptible equation gives
These values are physically positive exactly when . The Jacobian matrix at this equilibrium is
Both eigenvalues have negative real parts, so the endemic equilibrium is locally asymptotically stable. Its decay exponents are
The regime means recovery is rapid compared with demographic replacement. For fixed away from the threshold, the exponents form a complex conjugate pair with frequency approximately . Hence
Strictly, oscillations require ; alone does not ensure this uniformly for every arbitrarily close to one or arbitrarily large.
Vaccinating a fraction of newborns replaces the susceptible input by . The effective basic reproduction number is , and the same calculation replaces by . Provided and the oscillatory approximation remains applicable, vaccination lengthens the oscillation period, because is smaller. Extremely near eradication the exponents become real and there is no oscillation period to extrapolate indefinitely.
The fixed-point conditions are
On they give and the disease-free equilibrium . An interior fixed point requires , so it exists only for ; substitution in the first equation gives the endemic equilibrium
The Jacobian matrix is
At its eigenvalues are and . Hence is asymptotically stable for and a saddle point for . At the endemic equilibrium, the equivalent coordinates give eigenvalues and , so it is a stable node whenever it exists. The origin is unstable because every solution with has .
For the phase portrait, the line is invariant and points toward . Also
so trajectories move toward the line . If , then throughout the interior and every nonzero solution approaches . If , the additional infective nullcline is the ray ; increases below this ray and decreases above it, and every trajectory with approaches . At the disease-free and endemic branches exchange stability in a transcritical bifurcation.
At an endemic equilibrium, , so forces
The equation gives . The conservation law therefore yields
A positive endemic state exists exactly when , equivalently when the basic reproduction number exceeds one.
At an endemic equilibrium, . The equation then gives
Since also , the equation gives
This infective population is positive precisely when
which is exactly the assumed instability condition for the disease-free equilibrium. Thus the endemic equilibrium of the susceptible-infective model with exponential birth exists.
At this equilibrium the relations above reduce the Jacobian matrix to
Hence
By the trace-determinant stability criterion, both eigenvalues have negative real part. The linearization stability theorem therefore proves that the endemic equilibrium is locally asymptotically stable.
For a heterogeneous SIS model with common recovery rate and a positive endemic equilibrium , force balance gives . When the transmission matrix is irreducible and nonnegative, the positive equilibrium vector and the Perron–Frobenius theorem imply the displayed spectral radius identity. It replaces the homogeneous scalar relation : different recipient types generally have different susceptible fractions.