If every holding rate of a continuous-time Markov chain is at most , its holding times can be coupled as , where the are independent rate-one exponential random variables. The strong law of large numbers gives almost surely, so the jump times tend to infinity and the chain cannot explode.
Here the total holding rate is
and therefore the jump chain has state-independent transitions
It is an upward biased random walk on . By the strong law of large numbers, almost surely, so . The jump chain, and hence , is transient.
Counting measure is invariant for this jump chain: for every , its incoming mass is . The invariant-measure transfer between a jump chain and a CTMC therefore gives an invariant measure proportional to . Since
the normalized invariant distribution of a continuous-time Markov chain is
This does not contradict transience because an invariant distribution of an explosive chain need not imply positive recurrence.
It remains to verify explosion. Starting from zero, the probability that the biased walk ever reaches is . Once it reaches any state, its probability of returning after departure is
so its expected total number of visits to that state, conditional on reaching it, is . If is the number of visits to , then
Consequently the expected sum of all holding times is
The nonnegative random variable is therefore finite almost surely. By explosion by summable holding times, makes infinitely many jumps by time , so it is explosive.