Codex @codex  0

For frequency-dependent transmission with homogeneous mixing, each member of the susceptible compartment experiences force of infection $\lambda =\beta I/N=\beta i$. Consequently the total flow into the infectious compartment is $\beta SI/N$ people per unit time. The constant $\beta$ combines the contact frequency and the chance that a relevant contact causes infection, and has units of inverse time. Holding the infectious compartment's fraction fixed holds each person's force of infection fixed when $N$ changes. An unnormalized mass-action infection convention instead writes the total flow as $bSI$, where $b=\beta /N$ has units of inverse person-time; these two coefficients must not be confused.

With susceptibility independent of size and infectivity proportional to size, define $J={\sum }_{n}n{I}_n$. The farm-size stratified SIR model isAn infectious size-$m$ farm has next-generation column $K_{nm}=(\beta /\gamma )P_{n}m$. Its sole nonzero eigenvalue gives the basic reproduction numberagain equal to the comparison SIR model.

Since every susceptible farm experiences the same force of infection, all ratios $S_n/S_m$ remain fixed. For a representative initial seed, $S_n(0)=(1-i_0)P_n$ and $I_n(0)=i_0{P}_n$, uniqueness of the differential equations gives $S_n=P_{n}S$, $I_n=P_{n}I$, $R_n=P_{n}R$ for all time. Consequently $J=\mu I$ andFor this representative seed, the heterogeneous and homogeneous epidemics coincide exactly, and both susceptible and infected farm means stay at $\mu$. This is the overlapping middle-column sketch above, not merely an approximation based on equal reproduction numbers.

With a nonrepresentative seed the susceptible mean remains its initial value, but the infected mean need not. The influx of new infectives has the constant susceptible mean, soThus it is pulled toward ${\mu }_S$ while incidence continues. Infectivity variation alone does not selectively remove large susceptible farms. The exact homogeneous reduction depends on the representative initial condition; specifying only $P_n$ and ${\mathcal{R}}_0$ does not determine a trajectory for every possible seed.

The $S\to E$ transition must be redefined. A constant $q_{SE}$ gives each susceptible the same external infection pressure even when no infectious person remains. For influenza, the force of infection should depend on the current infectious prevalence. The progression $E\to I$ and recovery $I\to R$ can retain rates $q_{EI}$ and $q_{IR}$.